Why is dystopia effective?

Dystopian fiction is hot. Sales of George Orwells 1984 and Margaret Atwoods The Handmaids Tale have skyrocketed since 2016. Young adult dystopias for example, Suzanne Collins The Hunger Games, Veronica Roths Divergent, Lois Lowrys classic, The Giver were best-sellers even before.

And with COVID-19, dystopias featuring diseases have taken on new life. Netflix reports a spike in popularity for Outbreak, 12 Monkeys and others.

Does this popularity signal that people think they live in a dystopia now? Haunting images of empty city squares, wild animals roaming streets and miles-long food pantry lines certainly suggest this.

We want to offer another view. Dystopia is a powerful but overused term. It is not a synonym for a terrible time.

The question for us as political scientists is not whether things are bad [they are], but how governments act. A governments poor handling of a crisis, while maddening and sometimes disastrous, does not constitute dystopia.

Todays empty city streets capture the feeling of a dystopian time. Getty/Roy Rochlin

Legitimate coercion

As we argue in our book, Survive and Resist: the Definitive Guide to Dystopian Politics, the definition of dystopia is political.

Dystopia is not a real place; it is a warning, usually about something bad the government is doing or something good it is failing to do. Actual dystopias are fictional, but real-life governments can be dystopian as in, looking a lot like the fiction.

Defining a dystopia starts with establishing the characteristics of good governance. A good government protects its citizens in a noncoercive way. It is the body best positioned to prepare for and guard against natural and human-made horrors.

Good governments use whats called legitimate coercion, legal force to which citizens agree to keep order and provide services like roads, schools and national security. Think of legitimate coercion as your willingness to stop at a red light, knowing its better for you and others in the long run.

No government is perfect, but there are ways of judging the imperfection. Good governments [those least imperfect] include a strong core of democratic elements to check the powerful and create accountability. They also include constitutional and judicial measures to check the power of the majority. This setup acknowledges the need for government but evidences healthy skepticism of giving too much power to any one person or body.

Federalism, the division of power between national and subnational governments, is a further check. It has proved useful lately, with state governors and mayors emerging as strong political players during COVID-19.

Three kinds of dystopias

Bad governments lack checks and balances, and rule in the interest of the rulers rather than the people. Citizens cant participate in their own governance. But dystopian governments are a special kind of bad; they use illegitimate coercion like force, threats and the disappearing of dissidents to stay in power.

Our book catalogs three major dystopia types, based on the presence or absence of a functioning state and how much power it has.

There are, as in Orwells 1984, overly powerful governments that infringe on individual lives and liberties. These are authoritarian states, run by dictators or powerful groups, like a single party or corporate-governance entity. Examples of these governments abound, including Assads murderously repressive regime in Syria and the silencing of dissent and journalism in Russia.

The great danger of these is, as our countrys Founding Fathers knew quite well, too much power on the part of any one person or group limits the options and autonomy of the masses.

Then there are dystopic states that seem nonauthoritarian but still take away basic human rights through market forces; we call these capitocracies. Individual workers and consumers are often exploited by the political-industrial complex, and the environment and other public goods suffer. A great fictional example is Wall-E by Pixar [2008], in which the U.S. president is also CEO of Buy N Large, a multinational corporation controlling the economy.

There are not perfect real-life examples of this, but elements are visible in the chaebol family business power in South Korea, and in various manifestations of corporate political power in the U.S, including deregulation, corporate personhood status and big-company bailouts.

Lastly there are state-of-nature dystopias, usually resulting from the collapse of a failed government. The resulting territory reverts to a primitive feudalism, ungoverned except for small tribal-held fiefdoms where individual dictators rule with impunity. The Citadel versus Gastown in the stunning 2015 movie Mad Max: Fury Road is a good fictional depiction. A real-life example was seen in the once barely governed Somalia, where, for almost 20 years until 2012, as a U.N. official described it, armed warlords [were] fighting each other on a clan basis.

Fiction best describes dystopia as in this reference to the landmark dystopian novel, 1984, by George Orwell. Getty/Schöning/ullstein bild

Fiction and real life

Indeed, political dystopia is often easier to see using the lens of fiction, which exaggerates behaviors, trends and patterns to make them more visible.

But behind the fiction there is always a real-world correlate. Orwell had Stalin, Franco and Hitler very much in mind when writing 1984.

Atwood, whom literary critics call the prophet of dystopia, recently defined dystopia as when [W]arlords and demagogues take over, some people forget that all people are people, enemies are created, vilified and dehumanized, minorities are persecuted, and human rights as such are shoved to the wall.

Some of this may be, as Atwood added, the cusp of where we are living now.

But the U.S. is not a dystopia. It still has functioning democratic institutions. Many in the U.S. fight against dehumanization and persecution of minorities. Courts are adjudicating cases. Legislatures are passing bills. Congress has not adjourned, nor has the fundamental right of habeas corpus the protection against illegal detention by the state [yet] been suspended.

Crisis as opportunity

And still. One frequent warning is that a major crisis can cover for the rolling back of democracy and curtailing of freedoms. In Atwoods The Handmaids Tale, a medical crisis is the pretext for suspending the Constitution.

In real life, too, crises facilitate authoritarian backsliding. In Hungary the pandemic has sped democracys unraveling. The legislature gave strongman Prime Minister Viktor Orban the power to rule by sole decree indefinitely, the lower courts are suspended and free speech is restricted.

Similar dangers exist in any number of countries where democratic institutions are frayed or fragile; leaders with authoritarian tendencies may be tempted to leverage the crisis to consolidate power.

But there are also positive signs for democracy.

A sign We are in this together is written in chalk on the sidewalk in front of NYU Langone Medical Center during the coronavirus pandemic on April 22, 2020 in New York City. Getty/John Lamparski

People are coming together in ways that didnt seem possible just a few months ago. This social capital is an important element in a democracy.

Ordinary people are performing incredible acts of kindness and generosity from shopping for neighbors to serenading residents at a nursing home to a mass movement to sew facemasks.

In politics, Wisconsin primary voters risked their lives to exercise their right to vote during the height of the pandemic. Citizens and civil society are pushing federal and state governments to ensure election safety and integrity in the remaining primaries and the November election.

Despite the eerie silence in public spaces, despite the preventable deaths that should weigh heavily on the consciences of public officials, even despite the authoritarian tendencies of too many leaders, the U.S. is not a dystopia yet.

Overuse clouds the words meaning. Fictional dystopias warn of preventable futures; those warnings can help avert the actual demise of democracy.

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